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Bitwise Says Bitcoin’s Q3 Rally Signals a “Regime Change” in Volatility Pattern

Bitwise says Bitcoin’s Q3 rally marked a “regime change,” breaking the pattern of rising prices coinciding with falling implied volatility
Bitwise describes Bitcoin’s Q3 rally as a regime change in the relationship between rising prices and implied volatility.

Bitwise has described Bitcoin’s third-quarter rally as a “regime change,” arguing that the market has broken a pattern in which rising prices were accompanied by falling implied volatility.

Bitcoin’s Q3 Rally

According to Bitwise, Bitcoin’s performance during the third quarter marked a notable shift in the relationship between price gains and implied volatility. The firm characterized the change as a “regime change,” indicating that the market’s recent behavior differed from the pattern it had previously observed.

The distinction centers on the interaction between Bitcoin’s price and implied volatility. Bitwise said the Q3 rally broke the pattern of rising Bitcoin prices coinciding with declining implied volatility, pointing to a different market dynamic during the period.

Shift in Market Pattern

Bitwise’s assessment focuses specifically on Bitcoin’s third-quarter rally and the change in how price gains were accompanied by implied volatility. The firm did not provide additional figures or a separate explanation for the shift in the cited statement.

The characterization of a “regime change” therefore reflects Bitwise’s description of the Q3 market behavior, with the key distinction being the break from the previously observed relationship between higher prices and lower implied volatility.

Writer: Ethan Collins  

Crypto Journalist

Ethan Collins reports on developments across the cryptocurrency and blockchain sector. His work covers market movements, protocol updates, regulatory changes, and emerging trends in digital assets.

He focuses on presenting complex topics in a clear and accessible manner for a broad readership.

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