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21Shares Officially Launches SUI ETF — Analysts Whisper a Price Rally Is Brewing!

Breaking down the successful launch of the 21Shares leveraged SUI ETF and complete price analysis. Learn how $TXXS impacts Sui’s market outlook, price

 

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21Shares SUI ETF Launched Successfully: Full Market Report and Price Analysis

The digital asset market witnessed another milestone this week as 21Shares officially launched the leveraged SUI ETF, marking a significant moment for the emerging Layer-1 blockchain ecosystem. The product, known as $TXXS, gives investors two-times daily exposure to the Sui network, positioning it among the most aggressive new exchange-listed crypto securities in 2025.

While excitement spread quickly across social platforms and trading circles, the price of SUI itself did not immediately react with the expected bullish surge. This has sparked widespread discussion among traders asking the same question: Why is SUI not rallying despite the ETF debut?

This report breaks down the launch event, market context, technical indicators, and forecasts shaping SUI’s near-term and long-term trajectory.


Source: Xpost


Wall Street Welcomes Sui: Leveraged ETF Debuts on Nasdaq

On December 5, 2025, 21Shares rolled out TXXS, a leveraged counterpart to their existing Spot SUI ETF. This move officially introduces SUI into mainstream exchange-traded investment markets, where institutional and retail investors can access it directly through broker accounts without needing to hold crypto wallets.

ETF analyst Eric Balchunas emphasized that the launch is unusual in the crypto ETF landscape, noting that SUI’s very first ETF was already leveraged. Historically, such a debut has only happened with assets like XRP, making SUI one of the few cryptocurrencies to skip directly to a leveraged financial vehicle.


Source: Xpost

The release also marks the 74th crypto ETF launched in 2025 and the 128th total registered globally, signaling rapid expansion of regulated crypto investment products. Market strategists expect more than 80 new ETFs to surface in 2026, showing accelerating institutional integration into Web3 assets.

According to the official announcement, $TXXS allows amplified exposure without complexities associated with margin trading, including:

• No margin account requirement
• No collateral liquidations
• No leverage management risk for the end user

The ETF can instead be accessed like any traditional stock, lowering barriers for conventional investors who seek amplified exposure without operating directly in decentralized markets.

Why the ETF Launch Matters for Sui

The Sui network is one of the fastest-expanding Layer-1 blockchains in user acquisition and infrastructure development. Analysts point to several advantages:

Simple onboarding via Google login or Face ID
Sponsored transactions removing gas-fee friction
A growing ecosystem of apps, gaming networks, and DeFi projects

With ETF access now available on Nasdaq, Sui steps closer to mass-market participation — something previously achieved only by top-tier networks like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

Market experts argue that this shift is foundational rather than short-term price driven. ETFs historically begin impacting asset value significantly only after liquidity forms over several weeks or months, not instantly on release day.

Market Response: Price Pullback Instead of Breakout

Despite the positive news, the SUI price fell 1.32% within 24 hours, hovering near $1.65 with a market capitalization of $6.17 billion. Trading volume remained strong, recording $754.8 million, suggesting active participation rather than abandonment.


Source: CoinMarketCap

On the weekly timeframe, however, the project maintained a 7% upward performance, indicating that sentiment remains cautiously optimistic instead of bearish. Investors appear to be waiting for post-ETF liquidity buildup before making major moves.

From a technical perspective:

• RSI currently sits near 46.9, signaling neutral momentum
• Price recently bounced from the $1.20 support zone
• No strong breakout patterns have formed yet

This aligns with typical ETF launch behavior previously witnessed in other assets where price rallies often manifest gradually instead of immediately.

Short-Term Price Forecast

In the near future, analysts expect SUI to trade within a consolidation range of $1.40 to $1.80. This zone remains critical for confirming whether bulls will accumulate supply post-ETF launch.

Key Resistance Level: $1.85
If broken with volume, price may advance toward $2.00 in the short term.

Key Support Level: $1.35
A failure to hold could trigger another retest of lower liquidity zones.

Sideways movement remains the most likely outcome over the next several trading sessions unless macro conditions or institutional inflows accelerate rapidly.

Medium-Term Outlook (2026 Projection)

Between Q1 and Q2 2026, SUI must reclaim $2.50 to demonstrate a meaningful upward trend. This zone represents structural resistance which, if broken, could open pathways toward:

$2.80 – $3.20 zone as the next psychological cluster
• A major bullish target near $3.50

Reaching these levels will depend on network growth, increasing on-chain activity, and whether ETF trading volume expands beyond the initial launch wave.

Long-Term Projection: Can Sui Revisit Higher Highs?

Assuming ecosystem adoption continues and broader crypto market conditions enter recovery cycles through late 2026, SUI could aim toward the $4.00 to $5.00 price range, revisiting earlier peak levels around $4.30.

A stronger catalyst may push the asset beyond this range if:

• TVL increases in decentralized finance applications
• Developers continue building utility layers and gaming frameworks
• Institutional investment flows through multiple ETF products

Conversely, if macro markets facing tightening policy or risk-off sentiment return, upside potential may remain capped near $3.00, according to conservative projections.

Why No Immediate Price Rally Happened

Although ETF launches are often viewed as bullish catalysts, history shows that assets do not always surge immediately. Several reasons explain the muted reaction:

  1. Buy the rumor, sell the news behavior
    Traders may have priced in the news during pre-launch hype.

  2. Liquidity takes time to form
    Institutional inflows typically arrive gradually.

  3. Market-wide volatility remains moderate
    The crypto market is still recovering from 2024 cycle swings.

  4. ETF impact compounds over months, not hours
    Spot BTC ETF history shows delayed but strong long-term momentum.

SUI’s long-term promise remains intact, and analysts consider the ETF launch more of a structural milestone than a short-term price detonator.

Final Analysis

The 21Shares SUI ETF launch marks a substantial step for Sui entering the regulated investment arena. Even though the price has not exploded instantly, the introduction of TXXS may set the foundation for future institutional engagement, broader liquidity, and larger capital allocation.

ETF adoption is expected to reshape accessibility, reducing friction for traditional investors and creating new paths for exposure without requiring technical crypto management skills. Over time, as liquidity deepens and awareness expands, SUI may begin reflecting the significance of this event through gradual valuation growth.

For now, traders remain focused on monitoring resistance levels, ecosystem development, and ETF volume tracking over the next quarter. Sui’s long-term outlook will depend on how the network scales, how many investors engage through ETF markets, and whether adoption accelerates across Web3 sectors.


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Writer @Erlin
Erlin is an experienced crypto writer who loves to explore the intersection of blockchain technology and financial markets. She regularly provides insights into the latest trends and innovations in the digital currency space.
 
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