Monad Airdrop Hits 51%: Is Binance Preparing $MON’s First Listing?

Monad Airdrop Reaches 51% as Traders Eye Q4 Launch: Will Binance List $MON?

The cryptocurrency market has a new focal point this week as Monad, a highly anticipated blockchain project three years in the making, revealed that its airdrop claim has reached 51% completion. The update, shared on the project’s official X account, has ignited a wave of speculation among traders, developers, and investors eager for the project’s upcoming mainnet launch and first token distribution.

For a community that has been waiting for years, the milestone was received with cautious optimism. On one hand, hitting the halfway point signals that Monad is active, transparent, and moving toward completion. On the other hand, critics question whether the slow progress could mean further delays, stretching the roadmap well beyond the expected timeframe.

As discussions unfold, the crypto industry is buzzing with two big questions: Will the Monad mainnet go live before the end of 2025, and which exchange will be the first to list its native token, $MON?

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What the 51% Milestone Means for the Monad Community

The 51% figure is not just a random statistic. In blockchain development, progress updates often serve as markers of readiness for final deployment. For Monad, this suggests that the mainnet is moving closer to launch and that preparations for its first major token distribution are in full swing.

For supporters, this is a positive sign. It means the project is alive, operational, and not among the many vaporware or abandoned initiatives that have plagued the crypto space. The airdrop claim progress indicates that Monad’s infrastructure is nearing maturity and that users will soon see tangible rewards for their patience.

Still, skeptics highlight the extended timeline. If it took three years to reach 51%, they argue, will it take another two or three years to complete the remaining half? Or, as many in the market suspect, is this milestone a signal that the team is gearing up for a launch in the final quarter of 2025?

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Polymarket Predictions: Community Bets on a Q4 Launch

One of the most intriguing indicators of sentiment comes from Polymarket, a prediction platform where traders can bet on the likelihood of future events. Current betting markets show:

• October 31, 2025 → 33% chance, rising by 16%

• November 30, 2025 → 82% chance

• December 31, 2025 → 92% chance

• By June 30, 2026 → 96% chance

These probabilities reflect strong confidence that the Monad mainnet will go live before the end of 2025, with November and December viewed as the most likely windows. Such sentiment aligns with broader industry expectations, as Q4 has historically been a busy period for major blockchain launches and token listings.

The Polymarket data also underscores the rising anticipation for $MON as a potentially high-impact asset. Traders are not just betting on a launch date—they are wagering on Monad’s ability to emerge as one of the year’s defining projects.

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Kuru Exchange Hints: Countdown to December 31

Adding fuel to speculation, Kuru Exchange, one of the platforms already positioning itself as a trading hub for $MON, dropped its own hint earlier this week. On October 2, 2025, the exchange posted:

“BREAKING: Mainnet to be launched in the next 91 days.”

The 91-day countdown places the projected launch date on December 31, 2025. While Kuru’s post does not represent an official timeline from the Monad team, it has been widely interpreted as a strong signal that the exchange expects the launch to occur in Q4.

This aligns almost perfectly with the Polymarket predictions, creating a growing consensus across both traders and exchanges that October to December is the critical window to watch.

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Will Binance List $MON First?

Beyond the timing of the launch, perhaps the biggest question is where Monad’s native token will first be listed. Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, is widely seen as the top contender.

There are a few reasons why Binance is a favorite:

1. Track record → Binance has historically listed major new projects with strong community traction.

2. User base → Listing on Binance would instantly provide $MON with global visibility and liquidity.

3. Institutional credibility → Being listed on Binance signals legitimacy, often attracting both retail and institutional investors.

Still, Binance is not the only possibility. Exchanges like KuCoin, Bybit, and OKX have also been active in courting new projects, especially those that emerge with significant hype and established communities. For Monad, securing multiple listings could accelerate adoption and trading volume, regardless of which exchange goes first.

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Market Implications: Why Traders Are Watching Closely

The anticipation around Monad is not just about a single token—it reflects larger themes in the crypto market:

• New Layer-1 Hype → Every few years, a new blockchain promises higher performance and scalability. Monad, with its three years of development, is being compared to past breakout projects like Solana and Aptos.

• Airdrop Mania → Token giveaways often generate huge buzz, attracting both long-term holders and short-term speculators. A successful airdrop can create momentum that sustains trading volume for months.

• Exchange Wars → The race to list $MON highlights how exchanges compete for market share. Whichever platform secures the first listing will benefit from a surge in trading activity.

For traders, this represents an opportunity but also a risk. The hype around new tokens can lead to extreme volatility. Early adopters could see outsized returns, but latecomers risk being caught in sharp corrections if the price rallies too quickly.

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The Bigger Picture: Lessons From Past Launches

Looking at past examples, the crypto market tends to follow a predictable cycle around major token launches:

1. Pre-launch speculation → Buzz builds up as updates and hints surface.

2. Airdrop excitement → Early supporters celebrate their allocations, often creating initial buying pressure.

3. Listing day rally → Tokens frequently spike upon listing, fueled by FOMO.

4. Post-launch correction → Prices often retrace as traders take profits and hype cools.

5. Long-term trajectory → The token’s actual performance depends on adoption, partnerships, and technological milestones.

If Monad follows this trajectory, the months after listing will be as critical as the launch itself. The project’s ability to sustain interest, build a developer ecosystem, and deliver real utility will determine whether $MON becomes a top-tier asset or just another speculative token.

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Final Thoughts: The Countdown Is On

The Monad airdrop claim reaching 51% marks an important moment in the project’s journey. For its supporters, it confirms that the team is actively building and preparing for the next phase. For skeptics, it raises questions about timing and delivery.

But with Polymarket traders placing their bets, exchanges like Kuru offering hints, and the possibility of a Binance listing on the horizon, the stage is set for Monad to become one of the most closely watched launches of 2025.

Whether it happens in October, November, or December, one thing is clear: the crypto world is waiting for $MON, and the final months of the year could define its place in the digital asset ecosystem.

Writer @Erlin

Erlin is an experienced crypto writer who loves to explore the intersection of blockchain technology and financial markets. She regularly provides insights into the latest trends and innovations in the digital currency space.

 

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