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Bitcoin Crashes as US–China Tariff War Heats Up—Investors Panic

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US-China Tariff Chaos Deepens: Global Trade War Shakes Crypto Market

The cryptocurrency market tumbled once again on Monday as rising tensions between the United States and China reignited fears of a full-blown trade war. Major digital assets including Bitcoin and Ethereum plunged after Beijing issued a stark warning that it would “fight to the end” if President Donald Trump moves forward with sweeping new tariffs on Chinese goods.

The escalation marks the most severe downturn in investor sentiment since the start of the year. As both economic superpowers dig in, global markets are being rattled by uncertainty, and risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies have become the first to feel the shockwaves.


A New Round of Tariff Tensions

On October 14, 2025, China’s Ministry of Commerce delivered an unusually strong statement in response to the Trump administration’s latest move — a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports. The statement made clear that Beijing is prepared for a long fight if Washington continues to escalate economic restrictions.

“On the matter of tariff wars and trade wars, China's position remains consistent,” said a ministry spokesperson in Beijing. “If you wish to fight, we shall fight to the end; if you wish to negotiate, our door remains open. The United States cannot simultaneously seek dialogue while threatening new restrictive measures. This is not the proper way to engage with China.”

Trump’s decision followed China’s recent export curbs on rare earth materials, a vital component in manufacturing electric vehicles and semiconductors. The White House condemned the restrictions as “an act of economic aggression” and accused China of trying to “hold the world hostage” through supply chain manipulation.

In response, China defended its actions, saying the export controls were legitimate measures under domestic law designed to safeguard national interests and ensure sustainable resource management. “China has always acted responsibly and is committed to both national and international security,” the spokesperson added.


Crypto Market Turns Deep Red

The repercussions were immediate. The global cryptocurrency market capitalization dropped to $3.78 trillion, down more than 3.4% in 24 hours. Bitcoin briefly fell below $58,000, while Ethereum dropped under $2,400 — levels not seen since early August. Altcoins such as Solana, XRP, and Cardano also suffered sharp declines as panic selling swept through the market.

Market analyst Ted, writing on X (formerly Twitter), noted that the recent sell-off was “largely triggered by renewed tariff tensions and the growing sense of uncertainty around U.S.-China trade policy.” According to him, “risk assets like crypto will likely remain under pressure until there’s a clear diplomatic breakthrough or de-escalation.”

Despite a short-lived rebound over the weekend following Trump’s hint at possible “policy flexibility,” the optimism evaporated within hours. The quick reversal, Ted said, “signals that the market still lacks confidence, and traders are not yet convinced that the worst is over.”

He added that if the U.S. and China manage to strike even a partial agreement in the coming weeks, it could spark a sharp recovery across risk markets. “A new trade deal could push stocks to record highs and trigger a crypto rally, with Ethereum likely outperforming other digital assets,” Ted wrote. He expects this scenario could unfold within one to two weeks, depending on the pace of diplomatic engagement.


Whale Activity Adds Mystery to the Market

While geopolitical headlines dominated the news, on-chain analysts spotted something unusual happening in the crypto derivatives market. Analyst Gordon, also posting on X, revealed that a major crypto whale had opened a massive $392 million short position against Bitcoin just minutes before the U.S.-China tariff announcement.

This same trader reportedly made $191 million in profits during the last market downturn — a fact that has raised eyebrows among industry observers. “The timing is too perfect to ignore,” Gordon wrote. “Does he know something we don’t?”

The trader’s move suggests that some large players may have anticipated the escalation before it became public, leading to speculation about potential insider awareness or algorithmic models tracking political sentiment in real time. Some analysts warn that such trades can amplify market volatility, especially when combined with the cascade of automated liquidations that follow sharp price drops.


The Ripple Effect Beyond Crypto

The sell-off in digital assets was mirrored in broader markets. Global equities, commodities, and tech stocks also slid as investors fled riskier positions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 2%. Asian markets opened in negative territory, with the Shanghai Composite losing 3% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index sliding 2.7%.

Gold and the U.S. dollar both strengthened, as traders sought traditional safe havens amid the turmoil. Meanwhile, Treasury yields fell slightly, signaling a flight to safety and expectations of slower economic growth if the trade war intensifies.

Economists warn that the new tariffs could disrupt global supply chains and worsen inflationary pressures, especially if China retaliates with countermeasures on critical goods such as rare earth elements and consumer electronics. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated earlier this year that a prolonged trade conflict between the world’s two largest economies could shave 0.5% off global GDP growth by 2026.


Trump’s Trade Gamble and Political Calculations

Political analysts say Trump’s tariff escalation is part of a broader effort to project strength ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The administration has framed the move as an attempt to “restore economic fairness” and protect American manufacturing. However, critics argue that the tariffs could backfire, raising prices for consumers and adding pressure to already fragile global markets.

“Trump’s strategy is both political and economic,” said Dr. Elena Park, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Trade Institute. “He’s trying to show toughness against China while appealing to domestic industries that have long complained about unfair competition. But the collateral damage could be massive — especially in the tech and crypto sectors that thrive on open trade and capital flow.”

For now, the administration appears unmoved by market reactions. In a press briefing late Monday, White House spokesperson Brian Kellerman said, “The President will always prioritize American workers and national interests. China has been manipulating trade for decades. This administration is committed to ending that once and for all.”


Crypto Analysts Brace for Further Volatility

With global tensions escalating, analysts predict that the coming weeks could bring even sharper price swings. “We are in an environment where macro headlines dictate every market move,” said Ted. “Until investors see concrete progress toward easing trade tensions, the crypto market will remain vulnerable to shocks.”



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On-chain data also shows that liquidations surged over the weekend, with nearly $19 billion wiped out across major exchanges. This level of leverage unwinding, analysts say, reflects excessive optimism among traders before the tariff escalation — and could signal a broader market reset.

Despite the turbulence, some long-term investors see opportunity in the chaos. Institutional accumulation wallets have quietly increased Bitcoin holdings, suggesting that large players may view the dip as a buying opportunity. “Every major correction in crypto history has coincided with macro fear,” Gordon noted. “The smart money often accumulates when panic is highest.”


Outlook: Diplomacy or Decoupling?

The coming days may prove pivotal for both global markets and digital assets. If Washington and Beijing move toward negotiations, it could spark a powerful rebound. However, if tensions continue to escalate, analysts warn that the current downturn could deepen into one of the largest crypto drawdowns of the decade.

“The world is watching two superpowers that control both the supply chain and the financial narrative,” said Dr. Park. “What happens next won’t just shape global trade — it will determine the future of digital finance itself.”

As of Tuesday morning, Bitcoin traded around $58,300, down 3.2% in 24 hours, while Ethereum hovered near $2,410. Volatility remains high, and traders are bracing for further turbulence as the U.S.-China tariff saga unfolds.


Writer @Ellena

Erlin is an experienced crypto writer who loves to explore the intersection of blockchain technology and financial markets. She regularly provides insights into the latest trends and innovations in the digital currency space.

 

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